Issued: 0530hrs Wednesday 15th July 2020
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson
Unsettled east and north
Slack low pressure affects central and northern Europe, whilst low pressure lies out to the west over the Atlantic. Very warm across southwestern Spain and Portugal with temperatures approaching 40C. Less hot further north and east across Spain, with some areas of rain or local thunderstorms. Plenty of dry weather for France, but areas of rain affect eastern regions.
Thundery rain breaking out widely across central Europe, including the Alps, northern Italy, the south and east of Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic. Eastern Europe will be generally drier with just scattered showers for the Balkans and Romania. Greece and southern Italy mainly dry, but the odd heavy shower possible for Sicily.
Rain affects much of southern Scandinavia, heavy at times, whilst northern parts of Norway and Sweden will see just scattered showers. Generally dry and warm for Finland and the Baltic states.
High pressure lying to the west of Europe maintains dry and very warm conditions across Spain and Portugal, with temperatures again up to 40C in the southwest of Iberia. Dry across the western Mediterranean and much of France, with temperatures up to 30C in the south, aided by a local mistral wind.
Fairly unsettled across central and eastern Europe, where slack low pressure will allow areas of rain and thunderstorms to develop widely through the day, affecting Germany, Alpine regions, Poland, the Balkan states and into eastern countries. Areas around the Black Sea should escape dry and warm. A few showers forming for mainland Greece and Italy, but the Greek islands and Cyprus should be dry.
Drizzly showers are likely for the Low Countries, whilst some heavier showers will affect southern Sweden. A fair amount of dry weather for southern Norway, central Sweden and Finland, but some heavy showers are likely in northern Scandinavia.