Tropical Storm EARL Advisory Thu Aug 04

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
0900 UTC WED AUG 03 2016

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)

VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   2(13)   X(13)

FRONTERA MX    34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  22(29)   4(33)   X(33)   X(33)
FRONTERA MX    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
FRONTERA MX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MERIDA MX      34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

COZUMEL MX     34  3   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

BELIZE CITY    34  4  65(69)   9(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
BELIZE CITY    50  X  20(20)  12(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  1  11(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GUANAJA        34 67  23(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
GUANAJA        50 26  32(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
GUANAJA        64  2   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN