Tropical Storm HILDA Advisory Fri Aug 07

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102015
0900 UTC THU AUG 06 2015

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  21(34)   4(38)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   1(11)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   3(13)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART