Comments Membership info Register new Login
Tropical Storm HILARY Advisory Sun Jul 23

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)

10N 105W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)

15N 105W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  18(20)  51(71)   3(74)   1(75)
15N 105W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  35(38)   3(41)   X(41)
15N 105W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   3(23)   X(23)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   X(12)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)

L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)

10N 100W       34  1  32(33)   5(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
10N 100W       50  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
10N 100W       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

15N 100W       34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

10N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

15N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  33(43)   5(48)
15N 110W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)
15N 110W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)

20N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)  14(33)
20N 110W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)
20N 110W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)  23(52)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  16(25)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  30(35)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

15N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)
15N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
15N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
FORECASTER ZELINSKY