Tropical Storm BAVI Advisory Mon Mar 16

WARNING    ATCG MIL 03W NWP 150315072423
2015031506 03W BAVI       016  01 270 20 SATL 060
T000 141N 1465E 050 R034 125 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 141N 1426E 050 R034 125 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD
T024 143N 1394E 050 R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 145N 1365E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 147N 1341E 040 R034 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 152N 1297E 035
T096 154N 1261E 030
T120 153N 1227E 025
AMP
SUBJ:  TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI) WARNING NR 016
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   150600Z --- NEAR 14.1N 146.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 146.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   151800Z --- 14.1N 142.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z --- 14.3N 139.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   161800Z --- 14.5N 136.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   170600Z --- 14.7N 134.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   180600Z --- 15.2N 129.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 15.4N 126.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 15.3N 122.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 145.5E.
TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 78 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 22
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//
0315031000  63N1766E  15
0315031006  63N1753E  20
0315031012  63N1741E  20
0315031018  63N1728E  20
0315031100  64N1715E  20
0315031106  69N1699E  20
0315031112  72N1684E  30
0315031118  74N1675E  35
0315031200  77N1666E  35
0315031206  80N1657E  35
0315031212  84N1646E  35
0315031218  88N1628E  40
0315031300  89N1614E  45
0315031306  95N1602E  45
0315031312 100N1588E  45
0315031318 110N1573E  50
0315031400 119N1548E  50
0315031406 127N1532E  45
0315031412 130N1518E  45
0315031418 134N1502E  45
0315031500 141N1486E  45
0315031506 141N1465E  50
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